Grading NFL HC Firings and Ranking Destination Spots

Hoodie Network

Grading the Firings

Raiders – Jon Gruden Resigned | A-
Jon Gruden technically wasn’t fired, but he resigned because of… well, he said some things. Gruden may have been a good head coach in his time, but this recent stint with the Raiders made it very clear that it is not his time anymore. He made questionable personnel choices and didn’t achieve over a .500 record for any of his 3 full seasons before he resigned. I believe this to be an “addition by subtraction” situation for the Raiders. Rich Bisaccia stepped in as Interim Head Coach, using his incredible leadership skills to go 7-5 and leading the Raiders to a playoff berth. I think Rich Bisaccia has more than earned a shot at HC next year, and time will tell if he will be successful.

Edit: This original article previously said, “The Raiders haven’t traded away many draft picks, so GM Mike Mayock can develop this team through the draft. That’s if Jon Gruden is the reason for the questionable draft selections in recent years.” As of 1/17, GM Mike Mayock has been fired. I guess the Raiders decided that he shared responsibility for the questionable roster decisions.

Jaguars – Urban Meyer | A+
Urban Meyer was an excellent college coach, but an awful NFL coach. He struggled with not having as much power over grown men as he did young college kids. He had, let’s call it, “off the field issues”. He essentially wasted a year of the Jacksonville Jaguars’ time. He will more than likely never get another shot to coach in the NFL, which is a shame for the college coaching legend.

Broncos – Vic Fangio | C+
Vic Fangio is a good defensive coordinator, but I don’t know if he is a great head coach. He was okay, but nothing spectacular. The main reason for his 19-30 record with the Broncos was the lack of talent on the roster. The defenses were great, but starting QBs Drew Lock and Teddy Bridgewater over Fangio’s tenure leave a lot to be desired. I think that the Broncos have more issues to solve than just a new HC. Vic Fangio should get a shot to be a defensive coordinator again.

Vikings – Mike Zimmer | B-
Mike Zimmer is a good head coach. Things just got a little bit stale. I think that Mike Zimmer will get another shot to lead a football team. I think his .562 winning percentage over his 8 years in Minnesota warrants that much. He led the Vikings to a Wild Card game, a Divisional Game, and a Conference Championship game. He went 2-3 in the playoffs, but it’s worth noting that the three quarterbacks in those seasons were Teddy Bridgewater, Case Keenum, and Kirk Cousins. I am not sure whether a new head coach or a new quarterback is the solution for the Vikings, but it seems like they are keeping Kirk Cousins and hoping a new face will help rejuvenate this team.

Bears – Matt Nagy | B+
Matt Nagy ended up with a .523 winning record, but I don’t think that tells the whole story. He gained perennial Pro Bowler Khalil Mack before his first season with the Bears. He didn’t exactly turn Mitch Trubisky into a star, not that anyone could. Either way, despite being an offensive coach, it was the Bears defense that was the soul of the team. During the end of his tenure, he was making questionable playcalls and in-game decisions. It was time for the Bears to move on. They have a young QB in Justin Fields and they need to bring in someone who can develop a young QB.

Dolphins – Brian Flores | F
Guys like Brian Flores don’t grow on trees. He took a bad roster and turned them into a functional team. He was a complete culture changer. He is everything you want out of a head coach: responsible, a leader, and able to connect with players. This is a total head scratcher and any team with an opening needs to give him a call.

Giants – Joe Judge | B
Joe Judge is in a unique position. I don’t think he was necessarily ready to be an NFL HC, which is just of one of the many faults of Dave Gettleman. That being said, Joe Judge was an okay coach at best. He didn’t connect too well with players, and he didn’t have much success on the field (going 10-23 in 2 seasons). I’d say Joe Judge gets another shot at head coaching down the road, but not before he spends a couple years in a different role.

Texans – Dan Culley | D+
Another head scratcher. I can’t help but feel like no matter what happened, the Texans were going to get rid of Dan Culley. He had an awful roster, but he showed promise. The only negative I can think of is he finished 4-13, but, again, terrible roster. He deserves another shot at head coach.

Potential HC Candidates

Here is a list of names that I keep seeing as potential candidates to fill these head coaching positions:

Former Head Coaches
Doug Pederson, Former Eagles HC
Jim Caldwell, Former Lions HC
Bill O’Brien, Alabama OC
Dan Quinn, Cowboys DC

Recently Fired
Brian Flores, Fired Dolphins HC
Mike Zimmer, Fired Vikings HC
Dan Culley, Fired Texans HC

College Coaches
Jim Harbaugh, Mich HC
Matt Campbell, Iowa St. HC
Luke Fickell, Cincy HC

Current Coordinators
Eric Bieniemy, Chiefs OC
Byron Leftwich, Bucs OC
Todd Bowles, Bucs DC
Brian Daboll, Bills OC
Matt Eberflus, Colts DC
Leslie Frazier, Bills DC
Nathaniel Hackett, Packers OC
Josh McDaniels, Pats OC
Vance Joseph, Cards DC

Ranking the Openings

8. Texans
The Texans roster is not good. They need help almost everywhere. Davis Mills had a solid rookie year at QB, but we will have to see just how much he improves. The Deshaun Watson situation is also something hanging over their heads. I don’t think he will play another game for the Texans. They would love to trade him, but the combination of his high trade value and the uncertainty of his future pretty much make him untradeable. They have a decent amount of draft capital to work with, but that all depends on if they hit on their draft picks.

7. Giants
The Giants have some upside. First, young guys like LT Andrew Thomas, LG Shane Lemieux, WR Kadarius Toney, DL Dexter Lawrence, and S Xavier McKinney have played really well so far. Then, of course, is Saquon Barkley if he can stay healthy. Add in DL Leonard Williams and you pretty much have all of the Giants’ bright spots right there. QB Daniel Jones has shown nothing special to prove that he is the future of this franchise. The new GM, whoever that is, will have a good amount of draft capital to work with, including two top-7 picks in the 2022 NFL Draft. Unfortunately, there isn’t really a quarterback worthy of taking that high. They are also already projected to be over the cap for next season. The new GM will have their work cut out for them.

6. Dolphins
The Dolphins have some holes in their line-up, but they are miles ahead of the previously mentioned teams. They badly need to solve their offensive line problem. They also need some help to bolster their defense, but for the most part they have solid players all over. The only reason they aren’t higher on the list is because of the question marks at quarterback. Jacoby Brissett is not the future, but Tua isn’t 100% the answer either. He’s played okay, but hasn’t done anything spectacular to earn the job long-term, yet. The Dolphins have two 1st-rounders in next year’s draft, which will most certainly have better quarterback talent than this year’s draft. Remember #TankForTua? I wouldn’t rule out #TankForBryceYoung. And with the most projected cap space in the league next year, I also wouldn’t rule out some free agent splashes.

5. Jaguars
I actually think that the Dolphins roster is substantially better than the Jags roster. So why are they ranked ahead of them? Simple: Trevor Lawrence. As a Cleveland Browns fan, I know first-hand how difficult it is to find the right guy at QB. It’s much easier to fill roster holes than it is to find the future of your football team. Trevor Lawrence showed incredible growth towards the end of the season. He will be a star in this league and will make the team around him better. They can use some of the 3rd most cap space in the league to help better their roster. The Jags have the 1st overall pick in the draft, which they can use to either draft a blue-chip EDGE prospect to bolster their defense or draft a blue-chip LT to protect Trevor Lawrence for the rest of his career.

4. Bears
Chicago has some pieces that would get any HC candidate excited. Khalil Mack, David Montgomery, Darnell Mooney, and a young QB with all the potential in the world. However, the defense needs some retooling, some older players will need young replacements, and they might need more pass catchers if Allen Robinson II leaves in free agency. They also don’t have much draft capital so don’t expect too much from the draft, but they do have a decent amount of cap space so they could add cheap free agents to fill their needs.

3. Broncos
The Broncos are in a tough spot. They’ve got a good offense line, really good weapons, but a below-average quarterback. CB Patrick Surtain II and RB Javonte Williams are certified stars. They have a good amount of draft capital and cap space to fill some of the holes they have on defense, specifically the front 7. If they can figure out the quarterback position, they can be very dangerous.

2. Vikings
The Vikings have enough talent to make a deep playoff run. They just haven’t been able to put it all together. Kirk Cousins is a decent quarterback, but he isn’t the type of quarterback that can carry a team to the championship. He’ll need a team full of talent. They need a few upgrades on defense, but overall they have a really good group. They also could use an upgrade on the interior offensive line. Look to the draft for them to fill those needs, since they are already $10 million over the cap for next season. Altogether, this is a very solid squad that could be a good head coach away from competing next year.

1. Raiders
Las Vegas is the best destination for a new head coaching candidate, and they might not even be looking for a new HC. They have a good QB, a solid defense, and good offensive weapons. They need to upgrade their offensive and defensive lines, but other than that they are a very complete football team. Rich Bisaccia should succeed in his next season should they choose to keep him at HC.

Hoodie Network

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